Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.031296 0.034353 0.037459 0.040844 0.044423 0.048088 0.052119
2025-08-24 0.025861 0.030263 0.034914 0.040169 0.045916 0.051986 0.058857
2025-08-31 0.022947 0.028402 0.034364 0.041304 0.049102 0.057538 0.067298
2025-09-07 0.020475 0.026699 0.033715 0.042098 0.051740 0.062381 0.074917
2025-09-14 0.018319 0.025101 0.032967 0.042594 0.053895 0.066588 0.081769
2025-09-21 0.016341 0.023500 0.032035 0.042718 0.055496 0.070074 0.087744
2025-09-28 0.015218 0.022823 0.032106 0.043944 0.058322 0.074932 0.095282
2025-10-05 0.013412 0.021116 0.030775 0.043350 0.058882 0.077069 0.099605
2025-10-12 0.012128 0.019971 0.030050 0.043415 0.060168 0.080012 0.104841
2025-10-19 0.011206 0.019231 0.029774 0.043985 0.062028 0.083614 0.110845
2025-10-26 0.010533 0.018775 0.029823 0.044933 0.064331 0.087742 0.117483
2025-11-02 0.008976 0.016930 0.027911 0.043245 0.063247 0.087679 0.119020
2025-11-09 0.007967 0.015826 0.026965 0.042808 0.063755 0.089607 0.123040
2025-11-16 0.007052 0.014784 0.026044 0.042353 0.064207 0.091447 0.126954
2025-11-23 0.006741 0.014664 0.026416 0.043647 0.066938 0.096157 0.134437
2025-11-30 0.006339 0.014362 0.026500 0.044528 0.069123 0.100187 0.141098
2025-12-07 0.005881 0.013925 0.026356 0.045071 0.070849 0.103634 0.147043
2025-12-14 0.005363 0.013336 0.025948 0.045214 0.072022 0.106366 0.152097
2025-12-21 0.005158 0.013281 0.026341 0.046492 0.074727 0.111078 0.159663
2025-12-28 0.004544 0.012424 0.025445 0.045879 0.074837 0.112421 0.162963
2026-01-04 0.004130 0.011897 0.025038 0.045948 0.075862 0.114941 0.167755
2026-01-11 0.003855 0.011612 0.024996 0.046541 0.077599 0.118390 0.173738
2026-01-18 0.003674 0.011496 0.025220 0.047524 0.079880 0.122563 0.180666